A company has 7 applicants, three women and four men. Suppose that the 7 applicants are equally qualified and that no preference is given for choosing either gender. Let X be the random variable described by the number of women chosen to fill the two positions. (a) Express the probability distribution of X as a formula in combinatorial notation. (b)Find P(X = 1). (c) Find P(X ≤ 1).
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(a)
There are three women out of the seven applicants, therefore, the probability of selecting a woman p = 3/7 (probability of success)
Also, there are only two possible outcomes in a single trial: either selecting a woman or a man, the we say that the random variable X follows a binomial distribution given by:
P(X=x) = nCxpx(1-p)n-x
where
n = number of trials
x = number of times for a specific outcome within n trials
p = probability of success on a single trial
C = combination
(b)
P(X=1)
Here, we have x=1 and n=2
P(X=1) = 2C1(3/7)1(1-3/7)
= 0.4898
(c)
P(X≤ 1)
Here, x=0 or 1 and n=2
P(X≤ 1) = P(X=0) + P(X=1)
=2C0(3/7)0(1-3/7)2 + 2C1(3/7)1(1-3/7)
= 0.3265 + 0.4898
= 0.8163